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mechanisms and causal pathways to strengthen attribution analyses and model development, build operationalized seasonal forecasts and test their skill as early warning systems, (iii) developing novel impact
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societal partners to study this phenomenon and to develop evidence-based tools, models, and policy insights that strengthen citizen-led initiatives and their collaboration with governments. The project
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-of-the-art econometric methods such as staggered difference-in-differences, regression discontinuity designs, and causal forest–based identification strategies. We ask applicants to briefly sketch in
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